According to Capitolwire reports, as poll results keep rolling in, one thing is for certain – Tom Wolf remains in the lead for the November 2014 gubernatorial election.
Franklin & Marshall Poll
According to a poll conducted from August 18-25, 2014 by the Center for Opinion
Franklin & Marshall Poll
According to a poll conducted from August 18-25, 2014 by the Center for Opinion
Research at Franklin & Marshall College, Democrat Tom Wolf had a 25-point lead over Republican Gov. Tom Corbett, 49 to 24 percent. The survey of 520 voters was conducted with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.
Wolf previously led Corbett in F&M’s June 2014 poll 47 to 25 percent.
According to the F&M poll, as of Aug. 25, state voter registration statistics show 49.6 percent of registered voters registered as Democrats, 36.8 percent were registered Republican, 8 percent with no affiliation, about a half-a-percent registered as Libertarian, and 5 percent as “all other voters.”
Harper Poll
GOP firm Harper Polling has Democrat Tom Wolf holding an 11 percent lead over Corbett among state voters. While Wolf holds a comfortable lead (58-35 percent) in the southeast/Philadelphia region, the race is a draw in the south central (48 percent Corbett, 45 percent Wolf) and the southwest/Pittsburgh (48 percent Wolf, 46 percent Corbett) regions. Sixty-one percent said, regardless of personal preference, they expect Wolf to win the November election, compared to 33 percent who expect Corbett to win. The polling memo says 8 percent of Corbett voters are supporting the governor, despite expecting him to lose. “It illuminates a challenge for Corbett: making people believe he can win.”
On the policy end, the poll also shows 51 percent of surveyed likely voters don't like Wolf’s income tax plan – at least based off minimum information available. Wolf has proposed changing Pennsylvania's current flat tax to a more progressive tax rate, meaning households having higher incomes would pay a higher effective tax rate. The poll uses a break-even point of $90,000 for when the higher effective rate would be borne, but a Capitolwire analysis of the plan, based on the little information, found higher effective rates would likely kick in around $77,700 per household.
Robert Morris University Poll
A Robert Morris University poll released on September 2 has Tom Wolf with an incredible 31-point lead over Tom Corbett. In the RMU poll, which surveyed 500 Pennsylvania voters, Wolf drew 55.5 percent of respondents compared with Corbett’s 24.7 percent. The poll had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. Source: Capitolwire.
Wolf previously led Corbett in F&M’s June 2014 poll 47 to 25 percent.
According to the F&M poll, as of Aug. 25, state voter registration statistics show 49.6 percent of registered voters registered as Democrats, 36.8 percent were registered Republican, 8 percent with no affiliation, about a half-a-percent registered as Libertarian, and 5 percent as “all other voters.”
Harper Poll
GOP firm Harper Polling has Democrat Tom Wolf holding an 11 percent lead over Corbett among state voters. While Wolf holds a comfortable lead (58-35 percent) in the southeast/Philadelphia region, the race is a draw in the south central (48 percent Corbett, 45 percent Wolf) and the southwest/Pittsburgh (48 percent Wolf, 46 percent Corbett) regions. Sixty-one percent said, regardless of personal preference, they expect Wolf to win the November election, compared to 33 percent who expect Corbett to win. The polling memo says 8 percent of Corbett voters are supporting the governor, despite expecting him to lose. “It illuminates a challenge for Corbett: making people believe he can win.”
On the policy end, the poll also shows 51 percent of surveyed likely voters don't like Wolf’s income tax plan – at least based off minimum information available. Wolf has proposed changing Pennsylvania's current flat tax to a more progressive tax rate, meaning households having higher incomes would pay a higher effective tax rate. The poll uses a break-even point of $90,000 for when the higher effective rate would be borne, but a Capitolwire analysis of the plan, based on the little information, found higher effective rates would likely kick in around $77,700 per household.
Robert Morris University Poll
A Robert Morris University poll released on September 2 has Tom Wolf with an incredible 31-point lead over Tom Corbett. In the RMU poll, which surveyed 500 Pennsylvania voters, Wolf drew 55.5 percent of respondents compared with Corbett’s 24.7 percent. The poll had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. Source: Capitolwire.
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